Crypto Fear & Greed Index Stays in Greed Despite Israel-Iran Conflict

• Michael Willson
• June 20, 2025

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has remained in the “Greed” zone (60–61) even during the recent Israel-Iran conflict. While geopolitical tensions usually shake investor confidence, the crypto market has shown unusual strength and resilience. Despite minor price dips, both Bitcoin and Ethereum bounced back quickly, with investor sentiment staying optimistic.

In this article, we’ll explain what this means for traders, why the index hasn’t shifted to “Fear,” and what you should watch next.

What Is the Crypto Fear & Greed Index?

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is a tool that reflects market sentiment based on data like volatility, momentum, social media trends, and trading volumes. It ranges from 0 (Extreme Fear) to 100 (Extreme Greed).

Right now, despite military activity in the Middle East, the index holds steady around 60–61, which signals strong investor confidence.

This level shows that traders are more willing to take risks, expecting higher returns, instead of retreating due to fear of losses.

Why Did the Index Stay in “Greed” During the Conflict?

There are three main reasons why the index didn’t fall:

1. Minimal Market Impact
   Bitcoin fell just 2.8% after the first round of Israel-Iran airstrikes but quickly returned to ~$105K. Ethereum dipped more sharply but also rebounded. This recovery helped keep fear levels low.
2. Institutional Confidence
   Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $1.37 billion in inflows during the same week. This indicates that large investors remained confident in Bitcoin’s long-term strength, even during global uncertainty.
3. Psychological Support Levels
   Bitcoin’s ability to hold above the $100K mark prevented panic selling. If it had dropped below, long positions worth over $1.7 billion could have been liquidated.

Crypto Market Overview During Israel-Iran Conflict

Metric	Value (Apr 13–15, 2025)
Fear & Greed Index Score	60–61 (Greed)
Bitcoin Price Range	$103K – $106K
Ethereum Price Recovery	From ~$2,284 to ~$2,534
BTC ETF Weekly Inflows	$1.37 billion
ETH ETF Weekly Movement	$2.1 million in net outflows

Despite military action, there was no sharp panic or market exit. The numbers suggest investor confidence remained steady, not shaken.

Could the Sentiment Shift to Fear?

Yes — but only if tensions escalate significantly or last longer than expected.

Analysts have pointed out that during the April 2024 flare-up between the same countries, the index quickly fell to “Fear” as Bitcoin lost nearly 15% in value. The difference this time is better price resilience and a larger base of long-term holders.

Still, this stability could flip if:

• Bitcoin drops below $100K
• A direct economic impact spreads to oil, trade, or global banking
• ETF inflows turn to outflows

That’s why traders and investors need to monitor both price support levels and geopolitical headlines.

What Should Crypto Traders Do Right Now?

This is a time for cautious optimism. Sentiment is strong, but the situation is still fragile. Here’s what traders can consider:

• Set stop-loss limits below key levels like $100K for Bitcoin
• Watch ETF flow data, especially for Ethereum, which showed slight outflows
• Diversify holdings to include lower-risk options or stablecoins
• Educate yourself on how market psychology works — a good crypto certification can help with this

If you’re new to using sentiment tools, remember: the index is a signal, not a guarantee. Use it as one of several factors in your trading decisions.

Overview of Crypto Fear & Greed Index 

Index Range	Market Sentiment	Typical Behavior	Suggested Action
0–24	Extreme Fear	Panic selling, sharp price drops	Hold or buy slowly
25–49	Fear	Risk-averse moves, sideway trends	Monitor market closely
50–74	Greed	Active buying, strong momentum	Take partial profits, set alerts
75–100	Extreme Greed	Overconfidence, bubble risk	Be cautious, prepare to hedge

This tool helps you understand how people are thinking — and trading — at different moments. But you still need your own plan.

The Bigger Picture: Long-Term Resilience in Crypto

The recent Israel-Iran conflict tested global nerves. But the crypto market’s response suggests growing maturity. Instead of panic, we saw disciplined dips, quick rebounds, and continued ETF activity.

This could mark a turning point — from crypto being a fragile asset to a more resilient, long-term investment class.

If you’re exploring roles in crypto analysis, data insights, or financial modeling, it’s smart to build your foundation now. A Data Science Certification can help you master market analysis. And for those launching or promoting projects, a Marketing and Business Certification will give you the strategic edge.

Conclusion

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index staying in “Greed” despite a real-world conflict shows how far the market has come. Investors, especially institutions, now see crypto not just as speculative — but as something worth holding, even when the world is tense.

This doesn’t mean risk is gone. But it does mean resilience is growing. For traders, analysts, and builders, it’s a sign to stay informed, stay cautious, and keep growing your skillset.